Where the market is wrong on Stenhousemuir v Partick
Stenhousemuir meet Partick in the Championship regular season - 6 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Stenhousemuir, 70% against 58%. Attacking output favors Partick on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Stenhousemuir arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Partick, L 0-3 v Heart Of Midlothian, W 1-0 @ Livingston, W 3-1 v Inverness CT.
Partick are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Stenhousemuir, W 1-0 v Ayr Utd, D 0-0 v Queen's Park, D 1-1 @ Inverness CT.
Partick hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stenhousemuir 1-0 Partick.
The market prices STE at 21% implied. Our number sits apart on Stenhousemuir: a 11.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
