Dugopolje v Kustosija: the model read
Dugopolje meet Kustosija in the First NL regular season - 1 at Stadion Hrvatski Vitezovi, Dugopolje. The model makes Kustosija the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% DUG, 30% draw, 41% KUS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 63%. Attacking output favors Kustosija on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Kustosija at 58%; double chance reads Dugopolje or draw 59%, Kustosija or draw 70%.
Dugopolje arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Orijent 1919, L 0-3 v Rudes, W 2-1 @ Sesvete, L 1-2 v Bsk Bijelo Brdo.
Kustosija are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Dubrava Zagreb, W 4-1 v Krka, L 1-3 @ NK Varazdin, D 3-3 @ Mladost Ždralovi.
Dugopolje hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Dugopolje 2-0 Kustosija.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
