Hradec Králové v Tromso

Hradec Králové meet Tromso in the UEFA Europa League 2nd qualifying round at FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove. The model makes Tromso the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% HRA, 31% draw, 34% TRO.

The baseline ratings are close, 1674 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 74% against 68%. Attacking output favors Tromso on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Tromso at 50%; double chance reads Hradec Králové or draw 66%, Tromso or draw 66%.

Hradec Králové arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Pardubice, W 1-0 @ Tromso, D 3-3 @ Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, D 1-1 @ Wolfsberger AC.

Tromso are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Hradec Králové, W 4-1 @ Ham-Kam, W 4-0 v Valerenga, W 4-1 v Orgryte IS.

Hradec Králové hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tromso 0-1 Hradec Králové.

The market prices HRA at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Hradec Králové: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.