Shimizu S-pulse v Tokyo Verdy: the model read
Shimizu S-pulse meet Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League regular season - 14 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka. The model makes Shimizu S-pulse the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% SHI, 31% draw, 31% TOK.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 48%. Attacking output favors Shimizu S-pulse on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Shimizu S-pulse at 55%; double chance reads Shimizu S-pulse or draw 69%, Tokyo Verdy or draw 62%.
Shimizu S-pulse arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Karlsruher SC, W 3-1 @ Polessya, L 0-3 @ Yokohama F. Marinos, D 1-1 v Yokohama F. Marinos.
Tokyo Verdy are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Gamba Osaka, D 1-1 @ Gamba Osaka, L 0-6 v Yokohama F. Marinos, W 1-0 @ Mito Hollyhock.
Shimizu S-pulse hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 Tokyo Verdy.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
