Where the market is wrong on Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Haifa meet Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Ligat Ha'al regular season - 2 at Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 55%. Attacking output favors Hapoel Haifa on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Hapoel Haifa arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Hapoel Beer Sheva, D 0-0 v Hapoel Tel Aviv, W 4-0 v Hapoel Beer Sheva, L 1-3 v Ironi Kiryat Shmona.
Hapoel Tel Aviv are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Beitar Jerusalem, D 0-0 @ Hapoel Haifa, L 0-1 v Atalanta, D 0-0 @ Atalanta.
The market prices HAP at 21% implied. Our number sits apart on Hapoel Haifa: a 14.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
