Naftagas v Jedinstvo Ub: the model read
Naftagas meet Jedinstvo Ub in the Prva Liga regular season - 11 at Gradski stadion, Zrenjanin.
Naftagas rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Naftagas, 55% against 20%. Attacking output favors Naftagas on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.9 per match.
Naftagas arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Javor, D 1-1 v TSC Backa Topola, D 1-1 @ Teleoptik, D 0-0 v Metalac GM.
Jedinstvo Ub are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Loznica, L 0-1 @ FK Vozdovac, W 2-1 v Semendrija 1924, L 1-2 @ Napredak.
The market broadly agrees with the model here, 49% implied on NAF against our 49%. No meaningful edge. Discipline means passing on priced-in matches.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
