Napredak v Grafičar: the model read
Napredak meet Grafičar in the Prva Liga regular season - 1. The model makes Grafičar the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 25% NAP, 32% draw, 42% GRA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Grafičar, 45% against 18%. Attacking output favors Grafičar on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Grafičar at 63%; double chance reads Napredak or draw 58%, Grafičar or draw 75%.
Napredak arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Dubočica, L 2-3 @ Otrant-Olympic, L 0-1 @ Sloga Doboj, L 0-1 v Radnik Bijeljina.
Grafičar are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Borac Cacak, W 1-0 v OFK Vršac, L 0-2 v Metalac GM, L 1-3 @ FAP.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
