Where the market is wrong on Wisla Plock v Korona Kielce
Wisla Plock meet Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa regular season - 6 at Orlen Arena, Plock.
The baseline ratings are close, 1496 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 50%. Attacking output favors Wisla Plock on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Korona Kielce at 55%; double chance reads Wisla Plock or draw 63%, Korona Kielce or draw 70%.
Wisla Plock arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Korona Kielce, L 0-5 @ GKS Katowice, L 1-2 @ Wisla Krakow, D 0-0 v Widzew Łódź.
Korona Kielce are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Wisla Plock, D 1-1 v Motor Lublin, W 2-1 @ Widzew Łódź, D 1-1 v Legia Warszawa.
Wisla Plock hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wisla Plock 0-2 Korona Kielce.
The market prices WIS at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
