Nice v Estac Troyes: the model read
Nice meet Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 regular season - 12 at Allianz Riviera, Nice. The model makes Estac Troyes the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 26% NIC, 30% draw, 44% EST.
Estac Troyes rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1431. Recent form leans Estac Troyes, 63% against 43%. Attacking output favors Estac Troyes on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Estac Troyes at 62%; double chance reads Nice or draw 56%, Estac Troyes or draw 74%.
Nice arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Nimes, W 4-1 v Saint Etienne, D 0-0 @ Saint Etienne, L 1-3 @ Lens.
Estac Troyes are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Grenoble, W 1-0 v RED Star FC 93, W 3-1 @ Nancy, L 0-1 @ Grenoble.
Nice hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Estac Troyes 0-1 Nice.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
