Toulouse v Lille: the model read
Toulouse meet Lille in the Ligue 1 regular season - 3 at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse.
Lille rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1432. Recent form leans Lille, 65% against 39%. Attacking output favors Lille on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Toulouse arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29, L 0-2 v Lyon, L 1-2 v Hamburger SV, W 2-1 v Real Sociedad.
Lille are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Paris Saint Germain, W 2-0 @ Angers, D 1-1 @ Everton, D 2-2 @ Hamburger SV.
Lille hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Toulouse 0-4 Lille.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
