Where the market is wrong on Lorient v Estac Troyes
Lorient meet Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 regular season - 2 at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient.
Estac Troyes rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1500. Recent form leans Estac Troyes, 78% against 50%. Attacking output favors Estac Troyes on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
Lorient arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Estac Troyes, D 0-0 @ Nice, L 1-4 @ SV Elversberg, L 1-2 @ Angers.
Estac Troyes are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Lorient, D 0-0 v Paris FC, D 1-1 v Panetolikos, D 1-1 @ Auxerre.
Estac Troyes hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lorient 1-2 Estac Troyes.
The market prices LOR at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Estac Troyes: a 23.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
