Where the market is wrong on PAU v Sochaux
PAU meet Sochaux in the Ligue 2 regular season - 5 at Nouste Camp, Pau.
The baseline ratings are close, 1458 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sochaux, 55% against 42%. Attacking output favors Sochaux on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
PAU arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Rodez, L 0-1 v Nancy, W 1-0 @ Dijon, L 0-1 v Annecy.
Sochaux are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Clermont Foot, W 1-0 v Guingamp, D 0-0 @ RED Star FC 93, L 0-3 v Saint Etienne.
Sochaux hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Sochaux 2-3 PAU.
The market prices PAU at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Sochaux: a 13.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
