Willem II v NEC Nijmegen: the model read
Willem II meet NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie regular season - 2 at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% WIL, 28% draw, 28% NEC.
Willem II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1512. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 53%. Attacking output favors NEC Nijmegen on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 61%; double chance reads Willem II or draw 72%, NEC Nijmegen or draw 56%.
Willem II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
NEC Nijmegen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 v Al-Fayha, W 3-1 v V-varen Nagasaki, L 2-3 @ Anderlecht, L 2-3 v MSV Duisburg.
NEC Nijmegen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Willem II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
