Vitesse v Jong AZ: the model read
Vitesse meet Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 16 at GelreDome, Arnhem. The model makes Vitesse the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% VIT, 29% draw, 30% JON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1496, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vitesse, 57% against 47%. Attacking output favors Jong AZ on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Vitesse at 57%; double chance reads Vitesse or draw 70%, Jong AZ or draw 59%.
Vitesse arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Al-Jazira, D 0-0 v AEK Athens FC, W 1-0 v Borussia Dortmund II, D 1-1 v Roda.
Jong AZ are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Jong Ajax, W 3-1 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 @ Waalwijk, W 2-0 v Roda.
Vitesse hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vitesse 2-0 Jong AZ.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
