Where the market is wrong on Jong AZ v Jong Utrecht
Jong AZ meet Jong Utrecht in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 8 at AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer.
Jong AZ rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1598 to 1400. Recent form leans Jong AZ, 61% against 25%. Attacking output favors Jong AZ on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.2 per match.
Jong AZ arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Jong Utrecht, L 1-2 v MVV, L 1-3 @ Emmen, W 5-2 @ De Graafschap.
Jong Utrecht are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Jong AZ, L 1-2 @ FC OSS, L 1-6 v Heracles, L 1-3 v Vitesse.
Jong AZ hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jong AZ 2-1 Jong Utrecht.
The market prices JON at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
