Waalwijk v NAC Breda: the model read
Waalwijk meet NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 5 at Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk. The model makes Waalwijk the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% WAA, 27% draw, 24% NAC.
Waalwijk rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1408. Recent form leans Waalwijk, 60% against 38%. Attacking output favors Waalwijk on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Waalwijk at 67%; double chance reads Waalwijk or draw 76%, NAC Breda or draw 51%.
Waalwijk arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 v Alemannia Aachen, D 0-0 @ Kozakken Boys, D 1-1 v Jong AZ.
NAC Breda are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Excelsior, W 2-1 @ Hoek, L 0-2 v FC Eindhoven, D 3-3 @ AZ Alkmaar.
Waalwijk hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Waalwijk 5-0 NAC Breda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
