Where the market is wrong on Ludogorets v Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets meet Septemvri Sofia in the First League regular season - 9 at Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad.
Ludogorets rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1512. Recent form leans Ludogorets, 74% against 50%. Attacking output favors Ludogorets on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Ludogorets arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Septemvri Sofia, W 2-1 @ Lokomotiv Sofia, D 1-1 @ Spartak Varna, D 1-1 v Slavia Sofia.
Septemvri Sofia are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Ludogorets, L 2-3 v Botev Vratsa, D 1-1 @ Slavia Sofia, W 1-0 v CSKA 1948.
The market prices LUD at 75% implied. Our number sits apart on Septemvri Sofia: a 19.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
