Where the market is wrong on Águilas Doradas v Deportivo Pereira
Águilas Doradas meet Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A clausura - 11 at Estadio Cincuentenario, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Águilas Doradas, 53% against 38%. Attacking output favors Águilas Doradas on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Águilas Doradas arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Atletico Nacional, D 2-2 @ Internacional de Bogota, D 2-2 v Chico, D 1-1 v Millonarios.
Deportivo Pereira are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Bucaramanga, L 1-4 @ America de Cali, D 1-1 v Millonarios, L 0-3 v Independiente Medellin.
The market prices ÁGU at 68% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Pereira: a 17.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
