Where the market is wrong on Cucuta v Deportivo Pasto
Cucuta meet Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A clausura - 9 at Estadio General Santander, Cucuta.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cucuta, 45% against 25%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Pasto on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Cucuta arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Deportivo Pasto, L 1-2 @ Deportes Tolima, W 1-0 v Alianza Valledupar, W 1-0 @ Independiente Medellin.
Deportivo Pasto are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Cucuta, L 1-2 v Deportivo Pereira, D 1-1 @ Internacional de Bogota, L 0-1 v Llaneros.
Deportivo Pasto hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cucuta 2-2 Deportivo Pasto.
The market prices CUC at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Pasto: a 5.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
