Where the market is wrong on Deportivo Pasto v Llaneros
Deportivo Pasto meet Llaneros in the Primera A clausura - 6 at Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto.
Llaneros rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1547 to 1407. Recent form leans Llaneros, 58% against 33%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Pasto on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Llaneros at 58%; double chance reads Deportivo Pasto or draw 61%, Llaneros or draw 72%.
Deportivo Pasto arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Internacional de Bogota, L 0-1 v Llaneros, L 0-2 v Deportivo Cali, L 0-2 @ Millonarios.
Llaneros are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Millonarios, W 1-0 @ Deportivo Pasto, D 1-1 @ Águilas Doradas, W 3-1 v Fortaleza FC.
Deportivo Pasto hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Llaneros.
The market prices DEP at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Llaneros: a 17.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
