Fortaleza EC v Vitoria: the model read
Fortaleza EC meet Vitoria in the Copa do Nordeste final. The model makes Vitoria the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 33% FOR, 31% draw, 36% VIT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vitoria, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Vitoria on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Vitoria at 53%; double chance reads Fortaleza EC or draw 64%, Vitoria or draw 67%.
Fortaleza EC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Vila Nova, W 1-0 v Novorizontino, L 0-1 @ Atletico Goianiense, W 2-0 v Ponte Preta.
Vitoria are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Remo, D 0-0 @ Botafogo, W 1-0 v Vasco DA Gama, W 2-1 v Fortaleza EC.
Vitoria hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vitoria 2-1 Fortaleza EC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
