Vasco DA Gama v Fluminense: the model read
Vasco DA Gama meet Fluminense in the Copa Do Brasil round of 16. The model makes Fluminense the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 30% VAS, 31% draw, 39% FLU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fluminense, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Fluminense on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Fluminense at 56%; double chance reads Vasco DA Gama or draw 61%, Fluminense or draw 70%.
Vasco DA Gama arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Mirassol, D 2-2 @ Independiente Medellin, L 0-1 @ Vitoria, L 0-1 v Atletico-MG.
Fluminense are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gremio, D 1-1 v RB Bragantino, W 2-0 v Bahia, W 6-1 v Nova Iguaçu.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output