Marília v Grêmio Prudente: the model read
Marília meet Grêmio Prudente in the Copa Paulista group stage - 1 at Estadio Bento de Abreu, Sao Paulo. The model makes Marília the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% MAR, 35% draw, 27% GRÊ.
Marília rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1431. Recent form leans Marília, 65% against 43%. Attacking output favors Marília on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Marília at 59%; double chance reads Marília or draw 73%, Grêmio Prudente or draw 62%.
Marília arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Linense, W 1-0 v Grêmio Prudente, L 0-2 @ Portuguesa Santista, D 2-2 v Portuguesa Santista.
Grêmio Prudente are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Bandeirante SP, L 0-1 @ Marília, D 1-1 @ Taubaté, L 0-2 v Ferroviária.
Marília hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Marília 1-0 Grêmio Prudente.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
