Tunisia v Libya: the model read
Tunisia meet Libya in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Libya, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Tunisia on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Tunisia arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Netherlands, L 0-4 v Japan, L 1-5 @ Sweden, L 0-5 @ Belgium.
Libya are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 3 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Liberia, D 0-0 v Niger, D 0-0 @ Palestine, W 1-0 v Mauritania.
Tunisia hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Libya 0-1 Tunisia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
