Burkina Faso v Benin: the model read
Burkina Faso meet Benin in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 1. The model makes Burkina Faso the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% BUR, 29% draw, 24% BEN.
Burkina Faso rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1589 to 1468. Recent form leans Burkina Faso, 61% against 45%. Attacking output favors Burkina Faso on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Burkina Faso at 67%; double chance reads Burkina Faso or draw 76%, Benin or draw 53%.
Burkina Faso arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Belarus, L 0-3 @ Russia, D 1-1 v Guinea-Bissau, W 5-0 v Guinea-Bissau.
Benin are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Togo, D 1-1 v Niger, W 1-0 @ Guinea, W 1-0 v Liberia.
Burkina Faso hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Burkina Faso 3-0 Benin.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output