Union Magdalena v Santa Fe: the model read
Union Magdalena meet Santa Fe in the Copa Colombia play-offs at Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta. The model makes Union Magdalena the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% UNI, 31% draw, 34% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1637 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 66%. Attacking output favors Union Magdalena on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Union Magdalena at 50%; double chance reads Union Magdalena or draw 66%, Santa Fe or draw 65%.
Union Magdalena arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bogota FC, D 1-1 @ Barranquilla, W 3-0 v Real Cartagena, L 1-2 @ Real Cartagena.
Santa Fe are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Caracas FC, W 1-0 @ Penarol, D 0-0 @ Junior, W 2-1 v Platense.
Santa Fe hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Santa Fe 2-0 Union Magdalena.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
