Chievo v Milan II: the model read
Chievo meet Milan II in the Serie D - Girone B semi-finals. The model makes Milan II the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% CHI, 29% draw, 41% MIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 57%. Attacking output favors Milan II on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Milan II at 57%; double chance reads Chievo or draw 59%, Milan II or draw 70%.
Chievo arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ USD Casatese, W 2-1 v Milan II, W 2-1 v Pavia, D 2-2 @ Leon Monza e Brianza.
Milan II are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 18 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Chievo, W 10-1 v Vogherese, W 3-1 @ Castellanzese, L 0-1 v Varesina.
Milan II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chievo 2-1 Milan II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
