Thimphu v Paro: the model read
Thimphu meet Paro in the Premier League regular season. The model makes Paro the most likely outcome at 59%, with the full read 18% THI, 23% draw, 59% PAR.
Paro rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1400. Recent form leans Paro, 73% against 29%. Attacking output favors Paro on expected goals, 4.0 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Paro at 76%; double chance reads Thimphu or draw 41%, Paro or draw 82%.
Thimphu arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Paro, L 0-2 @ Thimphu City, L 1-5 v Paro, W 2-1 @ Drukpa.
Paro are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Thimphu, W 3-1 @ Tensung, W 5-1 @ Thimphu, W 4-0 v Tensung.
Paro hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Paro 2-0 Thimphu.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
