Karsiyaka v Ayvalikgucu: the model read
Karsiyaka meet Ayvalikgucu in the 3. Lig - Play-offs promotion play-offs - 1st round at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium, Izmir.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 68%. Attacking output favors Karsiyaka on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Karsiyaka at 54%; double chance reads Karsiyaka or draw 69%, Ayvalikgucu or draw 62%.
Karsiyaka arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Ayvalikgucu, D 0-0 @ Ayvalikgucu, D 1-1 @ Tire 2021 FK, W 5-0 v Söke 1970.
Ayvalikgucu are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Yeni Orduspor, D 0-0 @ Eskişehirspor, W 2-0 v Eskişehirspor, W 2-0 @ Karsiyaka.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Karsiyaka 0-2 Ayvalikgucu.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
