Serra Talhada v Vilavelhense: the model read
Serra Talhada meet Vilavelhense in the Copa Espírito Santo 1st phase - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vilavelhense, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Vilavelhense on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Serra Talhada arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Rio Branco ES, D 1-1 v Porto Vitória, L 0-1 @ Rio Branco-VN, L 2-3 @ Vitória ES.
Vilavelhense are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Vitória ES, D 2-2 v Vitória ES, W 2-0 v Audax São Mateus, W 1-0 v Vitória ES.
Serra Talhada hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Serra Talhada 2-3 Vilavelhense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
