Musa v EPS

Musa meet EPS in the Kakkonen - Lohko B group b at Porin Stadion, Pori. The model makes EPS the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 30% MUS, 27% draw, 43% EPS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans EPS, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors EPS on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans EPS at 59%; double chance reads Musa or draw 57%, EPS or draw 70%.

Musa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v EPS, L 1-2 @ HJS Akatemia, W 3-1 v GrIFK, L 1-7 @ Honka.

EPS are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Musa, W 2-1 v NJS, W 2-0 v P-Iirot, L 2-4 @ Ilves II.

EPS hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Musa 0-2 EPS.

The market prices MUS at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Musa: a 8.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.