ES Metlaoui v ES Tunis: the model read
ES Metlaoui meet ES Tunis in the Cup round of 16 at Metlaoui Municipal stadium, Metlaoui. The model makes ES Tunis the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 22% ES , 34% draw, 44% ES .
ES Tunis rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1477. Recent form leans ES Tunis, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors ES Tunis on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 19%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans ES Tunis at 66%; double chance reads ES Metlaoui or draw 56%, ES Tunis or draw 78%.
ES Metlaoui arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v ES Tunis, D 0-0 v JS Kairouanaise, L 0-1 @ ES Zarzis, W 1-0 @ US Monastirienne.
ES Tunis are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ ES Zarzis, W 1-0 @ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, W 3-0 @ BS Bouhajla, W 3-1 @ ES Metlaoui.
ES Tunis hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ES Metlaoui 1-3 ES Tunis.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
