Canberra Olympic v Queanbeyan City

Canberra Olympic meet Queanbeyan City in the Capital Territory NPL regular season - 18. The model makes Queanbeyan City the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 36% CAN, 27% draw, 37% QUE.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 48%. Attacking output favors Canberra Olympic on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 88%, over 2.5 goals around 92%. Draw no bet leans Queanbeyan City at 51%; double chance reads Canberra Olympic or draw 63%, Queanbeyan City or draw 64%.

Canberra Olympic arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Queanbeyan City, W 2-1 v Canberra White Eagles, L 0-3 @ Canberra FC, L 0-1 @ O'Connor Knights.

Queanbeyan City are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Canberra Olympic, D 2-2 @ Cooma Tigers FC, L 1-2 @ Monaro Panthers, W 2-1 v Canberra White Eagles.

Queanbeyan City hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Canberra Olympic 2-2 Queanbeyan City.

The market prices CAN at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Canberra Olympic: a 7.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.