South Sudan v Djibouti: the model read
South Sudan meet Djibouti in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification preliminary round at Juba Stadium, Juba. The model makes South Sudan the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% SOU, 32% draw, 23% DJI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans South Sudan, 30% against 18%. Attacking output favors South Sudan on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans South Sudan at 66%; double chance reads South Sudan or draw 77%, Djibouti or draw 55%.
South Sudan arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Djibouti, W 4-0 @ Djibouti, L 0-2 @ Syria, D 0-0 v Togo.
Djibouti are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ South Sudan, L 0-4 v South Sudan, L 0-1 @ Bahrain, L 0-7 @ Morocco B.
South Sudan hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: South Sudan 0-1 Djibouti.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
