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Primera División - Apertura · Apertura - 7 · Uruguay

Penarol v Cerro

3-1Tiempo completo· Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo· Árbitro: A. M. Matonte Cabrera

Análisis del partidoResumen previo al partido

Penarol v Cerro: the model read

Penarol meet Cerro in the Primera División - Apertura apertura - 7 at Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo. The model makes Penarol the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% PEN, 32% draw, 23% CER.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Penarol, 50% against 30%. Attacking output favors Penarol on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Penarol at 66%; double chance reads Penarol or draw 77%, Cerro or draw 56%.

Penarol arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Boston River, D 1-1 @ Racing Montevideo, W 1-0 @ Cerro, L 0-1 v Central Espanol.

Cerro are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Liverpool Montevideo, L 0-1 v Penarol, L 0-2 @ Cerro Largo, W 1-0 v Central Espanol.

Penarol hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cerro 0-1 Penarol.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Penarol

LLWDW7-6-7

Marcados 1.20 · Recibidos 1.05 · Portería a cero 25% · Ambos marcan 50%

  • WCBoston River3-0
  • DFRacing Montevideo1-1
  • WFCerro1-0
  • LCCentral Espanol0-1
  • LCSanta Fe0-1

Cerro

LWLLW4-4-12

Marcados 0.60 · Recibidos 1.60 · Portería a cero 15% · Ambos marcan 40%

  • WFLiverpool Montevideo2-1
  • LCPenarol0-1
  • LFCerro Largo0-2
  • WCCentral Espanol1-0
  • LFBoston River1-4

Head-to-head

10 meetings

PenarolrecordCerro
7
1
2 draws

Goals

21-6

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Penarol

Recent
WWLWWW
Wins 7Goals 21-6

Biggest win 5-0

Cerro

Recent
LLWLLL
Wins 1Goals 6-21

Biggest win 2-0

  • Cerro0-1Penarol
  • Penarol3-1Cerro
  • Cerro2-0Penarol
  • Penarol2-0Cerro
  • Penarol3-1Cerro
  • Cerro0-5Penarol
  • Penarol3-0Cerro
  • Cerro1-1Penarol
  • Penarol2-0Cerro
  • Cerro1-1Penarol

Managers

D. Aguirre

Uruguay · 60

In charge since 2023 · 14 clubs managed

  • Santos2023–2023
  • Olimpia2023–2023
  • Cruz Azul2022–2022
  • Internacional2021–2021

T. Silva

Uruguay · 51

In charge since 2025 · 11 clubs managed

  • Carlos Stein2022–2022
  • Deportivo Cuenca2019–2020
  • Real Garcilaso2018–2018
  • Cusco2018–2018

Solo datos reales: resultados recientes, cara a cara y cuotas de mercado. No se muestra la salida del modelo para equipos sin priors de Lemeister.