Atyrau v Yelimay Semey: the model read
Atyrau meet Yelimay Semey in the Premier League regular season - 17 at Turkestan Arena, Turkestan. The model makes Yelimay Semey the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 31% ATY, 33% draw, 36% YEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Yelimay Semey, 53% against 42%. Attacking output favors Yelimay Semey on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Yelimay Semey at 54%; double chance reads Atyrau or draw 64%, Yelimay Semey or draw 69%.
Atyrau arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ FK Tobol Kostanay, L 1-3 v Kairat Almaty, L 1-2 v Kaspiy, L 0-2 @ Kaspiy.
Yelimay Semey are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Kaisar, L 1-3 @ Ordabasy, D 1-1 v Alashkert, D 1-1 @ Alashkert.
Atyrau hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Yelimay Semey 1-2 Atyrau.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
