VfB Stuttgart v SC Freiburg: the model read
VfB Stuttgart meet SC Freiburg in the DFB Pokal semi-finals at MHPArena, Stuttgart. The model makes VfB Stuttgart the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% VFB, 27% draw, 31% SC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors VfB Stuttgart on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 81%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans VfB Stuttgart at 57%; double chance reads VfB Stuttgart or draw 69%, SC Freiburg or draw 58%.
VfB Stuttgart arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Balingen, L 0-3 @ Bayern München, D 2-2 @ Eintracht Frankfurt, W 3-1 v Bayer Leverkusen.
SC Freiburg are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Aston Villa, W 4-1 v RB Leipzig, L 2-3 @ Hamburger SV, W 3-1 v SC Braga.
The recent head-to-head is even, 5 apiece across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: VfB Stuttgart 2-1 SC Freiburg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
