Johvi Phoenix v Parnu JK Vaprus U21: the model read
Johvi Phoenix meet Parnu JK Vaprus U21 in the Esiliiga B regular season - 19. The model makes Johvi Phoenix the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% JOH, 25% draw, 37% PAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 55%. Attacking output favors Parnu JK Vaprus U21 on expected goals, 2.9 to 2.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 96%, over 2.5 goals around 99%. Draw no bet leans Johvi Phoenix at 50%; double chance reads Johvi Phoenix or draw 63%, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 or draw 63%.
Johvi Phoenix arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Tulevik, W 4-2 v Parnu JK Vaprus U21, W 3-2 v Tartu Kalev, L 0-2 @ Levadia U19.
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 17 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Narva U21, L 2-4 @ Johvi Phoenix, W 8-2 @ JK Tabasalu, W 4-1 @ Legion.
Johvi Phoenix hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Johvi Phoenix 4-2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
