Yangpyeong v Busan Transportation

Yangpyeong meet Busan Transportation in the K3 League regular season - 18. The model makes Busan Transportation the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 23% YAN, 27% draw, 50% BUS.

Busan Transportation rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1408. Recent form leans Busan Transportation, 70% against 38%. Attacking output favors Busan Transportation on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Busan Transportation at 68%; double chance reads Yangpyeong or draw 50%, Busan Transportation or draw 77%.

Yangpyeong arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 18 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Busan Transportation, L 3-4 @ Hwaseong, W 5-2 v Jeonbuk Motors II, W 5-1 @ Ulsan FC.

Busan Transportation are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Yangpyeong, W 2-1 v Suwon Bluewings, W 2-0 @ Siheung Citizen, W 2-1 v Gijang United.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Yangpyeong 2-4 Busan Transportation.

The market prices YAN at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Busan Transportation: a 10.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.