Real Sociedad v Athletic Club: the model read
Real Sociedad meet Athletic Club in the Copa del Rey semi-finals at Reale Arena, San Sebastian.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Athletic Club on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.5 per match.
Real Sociedad arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Espanyol, L 1-4 @ Real Madrid, L 0-1 @ Real Betis, L 1-3 @ Chelsea.
Athletic Club are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Celta Vigo, L 0-2 @ Barcelona, L 1-3 v Sevilla, L 1-3 @ Zaragoza.
Real Sociedad hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Sociedad 1-0 Athletic Club.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
