Where the market is wrong on Wollongong Wolves v Manly United
Wollongong Wolves meet Manly United in the New South Wales NPL regular season - 30 at WIN Stadium, Wollongong.
Manly United rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1431. Recent form leans Manly United, 60% against 38%. Attacking output favors Manly United on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Wollongong Wolves arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Manly United, W 3-0 v Western Sydney Wanderers U23, W 2-1 @ Rockdale City Suns, L 1-2 v Sydney United.
Manly United are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Sutherland Sharks, W 4-0 @ Wollongong Wolves, W 2-0 @ UNSW, L 0-4 v NWS Spirit.
Manly United hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wollongong Wolves 0-4 Manly United.
The market prices WOL at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Manly United: a 7.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
