Where the market is wrong on Riga v BFC Daugavpils
Riga meet BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga regular season - 29 at Skonto stadions, Riga.
Riga rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1500. Recent form leans Riga, 80% against 50%. Attacking output favors Riga on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.4 per match.
Riga arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ FK Liepaja, W 2-1 v KI Klaksvik, D 3-3 @ Rīgas FS, D 0-0 @ KI Klaksvik.
BFC Daugavpils are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Auda, L 0-1 @ Grobiņa, D 0-0 @ Super Nova, W 3-1 v Ogre United.
Riga hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: BFC Daugavpils 0-0 Riga.
The market prices RIG at 76% implied. Our number sits apart on BFC Daugavpils: a 18.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
