Throttur Reykjavik v Afturelding

Throttur Reykjavik meet Afturelding in the 1. Deild regular season - 16. The model makes Afturelding the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 35% THR, 27% draw, 38% AFT.

The baseline ratings are close, 1637 to 1722, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Afturelding, 79% against 68%. Attacking output favors Afturelding on expected goals, 3.2 to 2.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 86%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans Afturelding at 53%; double chance reads Throttur Reykjavik or draw 62%, Afturelding or draw 65%.

Throttur Reykjavik arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ Leiknir R., W 1-0 v Völsungur, D 1-1 @ IR Reykjavik, L 0-1 @ Njardvik.

Afturelding are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 19 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fylkir, W 3-2 v Leiknir R., W 6-1 @ Völsungur, W 1-0 @ IR Reykjavik.

Afturelding hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Afturelding 4-3 Throttur Reykjavik.

The market prices THR at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Afturelding: a 5.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.