Where the market is wrong on FC Cincinnati II v Philadelphia Union II
FC Cincinnati II meet Philadelphia Union II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at NKU Soccer Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Philadelphia Union II, 43% against 25%. Attacking output favors FC Cincinnati II on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
FC Cincinnati II arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Philadelphia Union II, W 3-1 @ Carolina Core, L 0-5 @ New York City II, L 2-3 v Connecticut FC.
Philadelphia Union II are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ FC Cincinnati II, L 2-4 v Connecticut FC, W 4-3 @ New England II, W 2-1 v FC Cincinnati II.
The market prices FC at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
