Where the market is wrong on Connecticut FC v New York RB II
Connecticut FC meet New York RB II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Morrone Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 55%. Attacking output favors Connecticut FC on expected goals, 2.1 to 2.1 per match.
Connecticut FC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v New York RB II, W 4-2 @ Philadelphia Union II, W 2-0 @ Crown Legacy, W 3-2 @ FC Cincinnati II.
New York RB II are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Connecticut FC, W 5-1 v Toronto II, W 2-1 @ Atlanta United II, W 2-1 @ Columbus Crew II.
Connecticut FC hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Connecticut FC 2-4 New York RB II.
The market prices CON at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
