Chattanooga v Philadelphia Union II

Chattanooga meet Philadelphia Union II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Finley Stadium, undefined. The model makes Chattanooga the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% CHA, 30% draw, 30% PHI.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Chattanooga, 60% against 43%. Attacking output favors Chattanooga on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Chattanooga at 57%; double chance reads Chattanooga or draw 70%, Philadelphia Union II or draw 60%.

Chattanooga arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Orlando City II, D 1-1 @ Carolina Core, W 1-0 v Inter Miami II, D 2-2 v Chicago Fire II.

Philadelphia Union II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Columbus Crew II, D 0-0 v Huntsville City, W 4-0 @ New England II, L 0-5 @ New York RB II.

Philadelphia Union II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Philadelphia Union II 3-3 Chattanooga.

The market prices CHA at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Philadelphia Union II: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.