New England II v New York City II

New England II meet New York City II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Gillette Stadium, undefined. The model makes New England II the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% NEW, 29% draw, 32% NEW.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans New England II, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors New England II on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans New England II at 55%; double chance reads New England II or draw 68%, New York City II or draw 61%.

New England II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Columbus Crew II, L 0-4 v Philadelphia Union II, W 3-1 @ Toronto II, L 1-2 v Chicago Fire II.

New York City II are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Crown Legacy, W 4-1 @ Connecticut FC, D 1-1 v Chattanooga, W 3-2 v Carolina Core.

New England II hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: New England II 3-2 New York City II.

The market prices NEW at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on New York City II: a 11.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.