Orsomarso v Leones FC: the model read
Orsomarso meet Leones FC in the Primera B apertura - 15 at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja. The model makes Orsomarso the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% ORS, 35% draw, 29% LEO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 35%. Attacking output favors Orsomarso on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 16%. Draw no bet leans Orsomarso at 56%; double chance reads Orsomarso or draw 71%, Leones FC or draw 64%.
Orsomarso arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fortaleza FC, D 1-1 v Independiente Medellin, L 0-2 @ Leones FC, D 1-1 v Cucuta.
Leones FC are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tigres FC, D 1-1 v Independiente Medellin, D 0-0 @ Cucuta, W 2-0 v Orsomarso.
Leones FC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Leones FC 2-0 Orsomarso.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
