Where the market is wrong on Stenungsund v Vänersborgs FK
Stenungsund meet Vänersborgs FK in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland norra götaland - 21.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 50%. Attacking output favors Stenungsund on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Stenungsund arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Vänersborgs FK, D 2-2 @ Motala, L 0-1 v Herrestads, D 1-1 @ Grebbestad.
Vänersborgs FK are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Stenungsund, W 1-0 v Ahlafors, W 3-1 @ IF Karlstad II, L 0-1 v IFK Skövde.
The market prices STE at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Vänersborgs FK: a 9.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
