IBV Vestmannaeyjar v Fram Reykjavik: the model read
IBV Vestmannaeyjar meet Fram Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild regular season - 17 at Hasteinsvollur, Vestmannaeyjar. The model makes Fram Reykjavik the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 29% IBV, 25% draw, 46% FRA.
Fram Reykjavik rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1407. Recent form leans Fram Reykjavik, 65% against 36%. Attacking output favors Fram Reykjavik on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 88%, over 2.5 goals around 95%. Draw no bet leans Fram Reykjavik at 62%; double chance reads IBV Vestmannaeyjar or draw 54%, Fram Reykjavik or draw 71%.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Breidablik, D 2-2 v KA Akureyri, L 2-5 @ KR Reykjavik, W 1-0 v Valur Reykjavik.
Fram Reykjavik are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v FH hafnarfjordur, W 3-2 @ Valur Reykjavik, W 6-1 v Thor Akureyri, D 1-1 @ Keflavik.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fram Reykjavik 5-1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
The market prices IBV at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output